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hypothesis developmentDevelop a rough and ready theory of party identification. Taking the case of the Bulgaria, and considering only those who identify with one of the several major parliamentary represented parties, brainstorm to come up with some hypotheses that help to explain why some people think of themselves as Socialists, while others think of themselves as Liberals, supporters of GERB, Nationalists or supporters of the Reform Block. The dependent variable in each hypothesis will be party identification (with the values being “Socialist”, “Liberal”, “Nationalist”, etc.).What are some independent variables? Keep a few things in mind: Choose variables that could reasonably be measured (though a survey or some other means). Consider carefully issues of both conceptual and operational definition. For example, if you posit religion as an independent variable, do you mean that there will be partisan differences between people of different faiths, or do you mean that people who are more religious (you also need to consider what that means and how you might measure it) will differ from those who are less so. Specify

the nature of the relationship. Do not merely say that party identification is related to age. Are older people more likely than younger people to be Liberal, or are they more likely to be Socialists for instance? Provide rationales for your hypotheses. (“Senior citizens are more likely than younger people to be Socialists because they are more worried about social equality” “Senior citizens are more likely than younger people to be Socialists because they are more worried about Social Security.”) Don’t worry at this point about whether your hypothesis is valid. Preview……………Party Identification in BulgariaThe political identification of Bulgarians follows the social, economic, and political ideologies of the party supporters. The largest party in the country is the ruling center-right party, the Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria, GERB. The supporters of the party identify themselves as nationalists. The young people, especially the university graduates are more likely to support the GERB because it advances the ideas of modernization through Christian………..APA 749 words
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